Closer carousel: Predicting ninth-inning changes with one key statistic

On Sunday, the Atlanta Braves scored six runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to overcome a 9-4 deficit and steal a game from the Miami Marlins that they had no right to win. I’m not Nick Cousins Jersey exactly sure why Marlins manager Don Mattingly decided to bring in closer Brad Ziegler with a five-run lead, but nevertheless, he did.
Women's Replica Majestic Adeiny Hechavarria Pink Jersey - #11 MLB Tampa Bay Rays Cool Base Fashion
FBA is the batting average of the first batter that a pitcher faces when he enters the game. Over the years, I’ve noticed that closers with a .200-or-lower FBA rarely get pulled from their job. Those between .201 and a cutoff point of the league average BAA plus 10 points (currently .255) are more often pulled during a season, even if only for a recharging of the batteries, especially if there’s another reliever on the team with a sub-.200 FBA.

Then there’s the red zone of .255-plus. One baserunner from these guys and the hometown fans fidget in their seats, the press box starts to formulate postgame inquiries of is it time for a change and the manager begins popping antacids, pacing and taking a long, hard look at the rest of his bullpen.

McCarthy (5-2) allowed one run and four hits with five strikeouts. He is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA against Philadelphia this season and 1-2 with a 6.60 ERA against the rest of the league.

Limited Youth Bob Lilly Jersey I warmed up and thought this could be a mess but the game started and I felt normal, McCarthy said. There’s no surprises facing a team four times. They knew where the ball is going. There’s no secrets. You just have to execute.
Robert Horry Mens Jersey
The NL East’s top two teams have already met 11 times, with Atlanta winning seven games.

Braves lefty A.J. Minter escaped a first-and-third, two-out jam in the eighth, retiring Jorge Alfaro on a fly to center. Arodys Vizcaino finished with a perfect inning for his ninth save in 11 tries.

Albies put the Braves in front with a solo shot in the third. The leadoff hitter is second behind Bryce Harper for most homers in the NL.

I worked hard in the offseason. I want good results to happen and it’s happening, Albies said.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *